So what’s the detailed explanation behind RAMmageddon? There’s a significant mismatch in the supply of HBM and server-class DRAM. The core issue is production capacity. Consider this:
every HBM wafer for AI displaces 3 DDR5 wafers. This is a cannibalisation effect. While three manufacturers - Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron - control 93% of this market, even these tech manufacturing giants are struggling to keep abreast of developments. For example, Samsung is able to fulfill only
70% of orders and
over 70% of SK Hynix’s HBM4 output is headed to support NVIDIA’s “Vera Rubin” AI platform.
This has led to a financial fallout. Memory prices jumped by
50% in the last quarter of 2025, and there’s an estimated 70% price increase in the offing this year. The effects are felt across supply chains—and by consumers and enterprises. With the shortage expected to
continue until 2028, prices of hardware such as phones and laptops are set to increase. For example, PC and smartphone retail prices could see
20% and 8% spikes respectively, while Dell reportedly plans to increase PC prices by up to
30% due to the RAM shortage.
RAMmageddon doesn’t stop at memory shortages and higher hardware prices. Global procurement is in the spotlight too. Due to lead time delays, HPE has slashed quote windows to just
14 days, while Cisco has reserved the right to cancel orders up to
45 days before shipment. This volatility makes capital expenditure (CAPEX) very difficult as vendors may adjust prices after buyers place orders. RAMmageddon is thus forcing both tech companies and consumer electronic companies to
compete. And in this scenario, global tech and electronic consumer giants and hyper-scalers have an advantage over mid-sized enterprises.
What happens to Sri Lankan enterprises amid such developments?